94 Morning Report: October 24th, 2023
Canadiens upset the Sabres in Buffalo, plus game previews for tonight's Frozen Frenzy with all 32 teams in action!
Latest stats and analytics updates from games played as of 10/23/23
Results
| Home | Away | Score | Matchup Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres | Montreal Canadiens | 1:3 | 57.9% : 42.1% |
Last Night Highlights
- The Montreal Canadiens defeated the Sabres in Buffalo a big upset road win with a 42.1% win probability
- Tanner Pearson and Brendan Gallagher had a goal and an assist each, Gallagher posting a 10.7 Points/60 with just 11.2 minutes of overall ice time and 9.5 while at even strength
- Sean Monahan won 70% of the 20 faceoffs he took last night, the 5th highest faceoff win percentage by a player this season who took 15+ faceoffs in a game
- Rasmus Dahlin played a game-leading 26.2 minutes and added an assist
- Jake Allen stopped 36 of the 37 SOG from the Sabres for .973 Save Percentage, while the Canadiens blocked 18 of the Sabres' 69 Shot Attempts
Key Matchups for the Frozen Frenzy
The NHL will have an exciting round of 16 games tonight featuring all 32 teams! This will feature great matchups like Red Wings v Kraken, Penguins v Stars, Jets v Blues, and many more. We dive in below on 3 matchups and key factors going into each game
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes
As mentioned in previous morning report editions, The Carolina Hurricanes are 2nd in the league in Overall Goals For (27) and 1st in Total Shots For, and 1st in Total Shot Attempts (434), 46 more than the Flames in 2nd (388). Not only that, but they lead the league in powerplay opportunities (27). The Lightning have allowed the most SOG Against with 223 Shots, but they've allowed the 2nd most goals against (24), behind only the Hurricanes (30). The Lightning will have to rely on high shooting rates from Steven Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars
It is still possible that we underestimate the Penguins even with star power like Crosby, Malkin, and Karlsson. Evgeni Malkin and Bryan Rust have 4 goals each in their 5 games played, all at even strength, plus Malkin's 4 assists. But while the Stars hold steady in 2nd place in the Central Division, they are not at the top of the table in many offensive categories. Rather, they've only allowed 9 goals, 3 of which came while they were on the powerplay, and have not allowed a single shorthanded goal in their 4 games (12 penalty kills). The defensive core of and Jake Oettinger's .943 save percentage will be a major factor for Pittsburgh to generate chances.
Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers
The Rangers have been up and down to start the season, similar to the Flames with 3-2 and 2-3 records in their first 5 games, respectively. They've had similar depth profiles so far, where the number of players scoring 80% of their even strength goals is 5 for each side (11 Goals for the Flames and 10 for the Rangers). An edge from Calgary could be in the shots department, where they generate 388 shot attempts (2nd in the league) and 202 on target. But the Rangers have allowed the fewest SOG in the league (119). While Artemi Panarin is in the league's top 20 in SOG/60 for players who average more than 14 minutes/game with 13.3 shots, the next Rangers player sit below 10 SOG/60. The Flames, in comparison, only have 2 players who sit above 10 SOG/60 (Mikael Backlund, 11.4, and Nazem Kadri, 10.8). The depth from each team for scoring chances will be important as their 3rd and 4th lines will be crucial to winning this game.
Tonight's Matchups
| Home Team | Home Win Probability | Away Team | Away Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Capitals | 41.5% | Toronto Maple Leafs | 58.5% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 63.1% | Anaheim Ducks | 36.9% |
| Ottawa Senators | 57.6% | Buffalo Sabres | 42.4% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 49.4% | Carolina Hurricanes | 50.6% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 50.8% | New Jersey Devils | 49.2% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 42.2% | Dallas Stars | 57.8% |
| Florida Panthers | 68.9% | San Jose Sharks | 31.1% |
| New York Islanders | 37.1% | Colorado Avalanche | 62.9% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 64.7% | Seattle Kraken | 35.3% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 29.6% | Boston Bruins | 70.4% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 52.9% | St. Louis Blues | 47.1% |
| Minnesota Wild | 52.9% | Edmonton Oilers | 47.1% |
| Nashville Predators | 52.3% | Vancouver Canucks | 47.7% |
| Calgary Flames | 44.9% | New York Rangers | 55.1% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 57.2% | Arizona Coyotes | 42.8% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 69.9% | Philadelphia Flyers | 30.1% |