94 Morning Report: November 14th, 2023

Oilers win in Knoblauch's debut thanks to Skinner and Draisaitl, and the Avs win big in Seattle. Plus a game preview in Buffalo that could provide a close matchup.

Latest stats and analytics updates from games played as of 11/13/23

Results from November 13th, 2023

Home Away Score Matchup Probability
Edmonton Oilers New York Islanders 4:1 51.7% : 48.3%
Seattle Kraken Colorado Avalanche 1:5 42.3% : 57.7%

Last Night Highlights

  • The Edmonton Oilers win their first game under Kris Knoblauch 4-1 as Leon Draisaitl had an even strength goal, 2 powerplay assists, and a shorthanded assist.
    • Despite their win, the Islanders held the Oilers to below their season average shot attempts, as they had 42 unblocked shot attempts to their season average 47.9.
    • Stuart Skinner made a season high 32 saves and .970 save percentage.
  • The Colorado Avalanche scored 5 in their road win vs Seattle as the Avs had 49 unblocked shot attempts to the Kraken's 36.
    • Nathna MacKinnon led the game with 3 points (3A) but the Avs had 2 points each from Makar, Toews, Tatar and Rantanen.
    • Makar, Rantanen and MacKinnon are now on 4 game point streaks despite losing the last 3 of 4.
    • With a goal and 6 shot attempts (3 unblocked), Ross Colton, led the game with 26.26 Shot Attempts per 60, right above MacKinnon (22.34).

Who's on Fire

Top 5 Teams
Team Project 94 Rating 5 Game Trend 5 Game Win%
Boston Bruins 685.15 -20.769 60.0%
Vegas Golden Knights 682.641 -22.228 60.0%
New York Rangers 678.604 +6.132 80.0% 🔥
Vancouver Canucks 664.29 +13.727 80.0% 🔥
Dallas Stars 664.189 +23.154 60.0%

Tonight's Matchups

Game Preview: Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres

The Boston Bruins enter tonight's matchup at the top of our power rankings at 685.15, but after losing to Montreal in Boston, they've slid down almost 21 points. They are 17th in Goals per Game and starting to show stagnant shot attempts per game, and perhaps a down trend as well (a bit too small of a sample size). Still, the Sabres are 28th in unblocked shot attempts per game and, as noted in our last game preview with the Bruins, capitalizing on the chances the Bruins allow is key as they are 1st in Goals Against per Game and 20th in SOG Against per Game. With David Pastrnak finding his game T-4th in the league in Goals, the Sabres will need to find the balance of limiting his chances as well.

Home Team Home Win Probability Away Team Away Win Probability
Montreal Canadiens 60.4% Calgary Flames 39.6%
Washington Capitals 37.1% Vegas Golden Knights 62.9%
Columbus Blue Jackets 33.2% Pittsburgh Penguins 66.8%
Buffalo Sabres 38.1% Boston Bruins 61.9%
Nashville Predators 47.4% Anaheim Ducks 52.6%
Dallas Stars 68.6% Arizona Coyotes 31.4%
Winnipeg Jets 54.8% New Jersey Devils 45.2%
St. Louis Blues 64.4% Tampa Bay Lightning 35.6%
San Jose Sharks 24.2% Florida Panthers 75.8%

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