94 Morning Report: May 3rd, 2023

Pavelski's 4 not enough for a 2OT winner from Seattle and Florida steals Game 1 in Toronto

Latest stats and analytics updates from games completed as of 5/2/23

Original data sourced from mysportsfeeds.com


Results

Home Team Away Team Final Score Win Probabilities Series
TOR FLA 2:4 63.3% : 36.7% 0:1
DAL SEA 4:5 61.6% : 38.4% 0:1

Highlights from Yesterday

The away team in the 2023 playoffs thus far has gone 33-16-3, winning 63% of all games

  • The Panthers upset the Maple Leafs in Toronto for Game 1 of Round 2 (FLA win prob: 63.3%) as away teams continue to run the show in the playoffs
    • Sam Bennett scored had a goal and an assist while Matthew Tkachuck had 3 assists and Aleksander Barkov had 2 assists
    • Tkachuk now has 14 points in the playoffs
  • Yanni Gourde scored in 2OT to give a 1-0 series after Game 1 at American Airlines Center
    • Joe Pavelski scored 4 goals in his first game back from injury
    • Oliver Bjorkstrand continued his hot hand from round 1 with a goal
    • Jordan Eberle had a goal and an assist for his 5th point of the playoffs

Giveaways

It is obvious that puck possession is extremely valueable as one shot and one goal can be all the difference in the playoffs. Last night, both losing teams gave the puck away more than their opponent, as Dallas turned the puck over 18 times, led by Evgenii Dadonov and Jason Robertson. While Pavelski was outstanding in Game 1, the Stars will need Robertson to get back to form in Game 2 to have a good chance in tying the series.


Tonight's Matchups

Home Team Home Win Probability Away Team Away Win Probability Series
CAR 51.729% NJD 48.271% 0-0
VGK 57.893% EDM 42.107% 0-0

Who to Watch

Playoff Statistics
Player Team Games Played Goals Assists Points SOG per 60 Avg TOI (Mins)
Jack Hughes NJD 7 3 2 5 12.5 21.3
Brent Burns CAR 6 0 5 5 11.3 23.9
Reilly Smith VGK 5 0 3 3 10.3 17.4
Zach Hyman EDM 6 2 2 4 9.6 19.8

Check out Round 2 Preview Part I and look out for Part II Coming Soon!


Top 5 Teams in the Power Rankings

Top 5 Teams
Team Project 94 Rating 5 Game Trend 5 Game Win%
BOS 770.668 -20.47 40.0%
EDM 735.284 +11.161 80.0% 🔥
VGK 730.264 +19.911 80.0% 🔥
NJD 719.828 +10.627 80.0% 🔥
TOR 716.124 -5.159 60.0%

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Disclaimer: Win probabilities and abstract analyses are predictions of future games and interpretations of historical events and should not be used as definitive outcomes for future games or events

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