94 Morning Report: May 11th, 2023

Toronto stays alive and Edmonton ties the series in 2 low shot attempt games

Latest stats and analytics updates from games completed as of 5/10/23

Original data sourced from mysportsfeeds.com


Results

Home Team Away Team Final Score Win Probabilities Series
FLA TOR 1:2 59.4% : 40.6% 3-1
EDM VGK 4:1 50.3% : 49.7% 2-2

Highlights from Yesterday

The away team in the 2023 playoffs thus far has gone 39-23-4, winning 59% of all games

  • Toronto stays alive with a 2-1 win in Florida led by Mitch Marner's 1 goal and 1 assist (3G/11A in the playoffs)
    • Though there were few shots from the Leafs, Ryan O'Reilly (56.2%), David Kampf (77.8%), and John Tavares (100.0%) were all 50%+ from the face-off circle
  • The Oilers tied the Series 2-2 in a game with the 2nd fewest shot attempts of all 2023 playoff games (though not close to the game with the fewest SOG)
    • Connor McDavid (2A) and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1G/1A) each had 2 points as Nugent-Hopkins scored his first goal of the postseason (8th point)
    • This is 5th time in the playoffs the Oilers had 4+ different goal scorers in a single game, T-2nd in the league with Dallas (Carolina has had this occur 6 times in the playoffs)

Hurricanes Bring the Scoring

Oilers have stepped up their defensive game, allowing 2.5 less SOG per Game in Round 2 (33.5 in Round 1 and 31.0 in Round 2) and 10.5 fewer shot attempts per game (62.5 in Round 1 and 52.0 in Round 2). While Edmonton is shooting and scoring less per game as well, key players like McDavid, Nugent-Hopkins, and Hyman have increased their Points per 60 vs Vegas


Tonight's Matchups

Home Team Home Win Probability Away Team Away Win Probability Series
CAR 55.037% NJD 44.963% 3-1
DAL 54.884% SEA 45.116% 2-2

Who to Watch

Playoff Statistics
Player Team Games Played Goals Assists Points SOG per 60 Avg TOI (Mins)
Brent Burns CAR 10 1 6 7 8.9 23.7
Timo Meier NJD 10 1 1 2 12.8 16.8
Joe Pavelski DAL 5 6 1 7 11.1 16.2
Oliver Bjorkstrand SEA 11 3 3 6 8.6 17.7

Check out Round 2 Preview Part I and Round 2 Preview Part II !


Top 5 Teams in the Power Rankings

Top 5 Teams
Team Project 94 Rating 5 Game Trend 5 Game Win%
BOS 770.668 -20.47 40.0%
VGK 735.456 +9.054 80.0% 🔥
EDM 730.092 +0.395 60.0%
CAR 727.103 +11.504 80.0% 🔥
FLO 710.461 +26.933 100% 🔥🔥

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Disclaimer: Win probabilities and abstract analyses are predictions of future games and interpretations of historical events and should not be used as definitive outcomes for future games or events

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