94 Morning Report: January 22nd, 2024

3 road wins, including 2 upsets, and Kirill The Thrill's hat trick create a thrilling Sunday of hockey.

Your daily newsletter for game recaps, the latest stats and advanced analytics in hockey.

Results from January 21st, 2024

Home Away Score Matchup Probability
Philadelphia Flyers Ottawa Senators 3:5 72.2% : 27.8%
Carolina Hurricanes Minnesota Wild 2:5 65.9% : 34.1%
Detroit Red Wings Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1 45.3% : 54.7%
New York Islanders Dallas Stars 3:2 (OT) 36.5% : 63.5%
Anaheim Ducks New York Rangers 2:5 31.6% : 68.4%
Seattle Kraken Toronto Maple Leafs 1:3 56.1% : 43.9%

Last Night Highlights

  • Kirill Kaprizov scored a hat trick, his first this season, in the Wild's 5-2 upset win in Carolina (34.1% win probability).
    • Filip Gustavsson saved 40 of 42 shots and the Hurricanes had 65 unblocked shot attempts to Minnesota's 28.
  • Auston Matthews scored his 38th goal in the Leafs' 3-1 win in Seattle, his 9th goal in the last 10 games.
    • Matthews is scoring at a high rate, but hasn't increased his shooting. In the last 5 games, he's decreased his Shot Attempts per Game by 0.07, Unblocked Shot Attempts per Game by 0.02 and his Shots on Goal have increased 0.04.
  • Tim Sutzle scored his 9th and 10th goals (and 43rd point) in an upset win from the Senators over the Flyers (27.8% win probability).
  • The Islanders win in overtime and stay 2 points away from a Wild Card Spot as Patrick Roy makes his Isles coaching debut.
    • Bo Horvat's 19th goal of the season was the OT winner and his Points/60 is now up to 2.95.
    • The Islanders were outshot 28-42 on target and 48 to 81 in overall attempts.

ICYMI: Do More Shots Lead to More Wins?

Who's on Fire

Top 5 Teams
Team Project 94 Rating 5 Game Trend 5 Game Win%
Edmonton Oilers 728.493 +36.993 100% πŸ”₯πŸ”₯
Winnipeg Jets 707.053 -1.954 80.0% πŸ”₯
Vancouver Canucks 686.826 +4.941 80.0% πŸ”₯
Colorado Avalanche 666.905 -14.283 60.0%
Boston Bruins 646.079 +60.187 80.0% πŸ”₯

Tonight's Matchups

Home Team Home Win Probability Away Team Away Win Probability
Boston Bruins 44.4% Winnipeg Jets 55.6%
New Jersey Devils 44.8% Vegas Golden Knights 55.2%
Nashville Predators 51.2% Florida Panthers 48.8%
Arizona Coyotes 53.0% Pittsburgh Penguins 47.0%
Vancouver Canucks 83.3% Chicago Blackhawks 16.7%
Los Angeles Kings 70.8% San Jose Sharks 29.2%

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