94 Morning Report: February 20th, 2024

Your daily newsletter for game recaps, the latest stats and advanced analytics in hockey.

Results from February 19th, 2024

Home	Away	Score	Matchup Probability
Buffalo Sabres	Anaheim Ducks	3:4	63.1% : 36.9%
St. Louis Blues	Toronto Maple Leafs	2:4	49.9% : 50.1%
Boston Bruins	Dallas Stars	4:3 (SO)	42.5% : 57.5%
Minnesota Wild	Vancouver Canucks	10:7	41.5% : 58.5%
Seattle Kraken	Detroit Red Wings	3:4 (OT)	44.6% : 55.4%
Arizona Coyotes	Edmonton Oilers	3:6	22.8% : 77.2%
Calgary Flames	Winnipeg Jets	6:3	39.0% : 61.0%
San Jose Sharks	Vegas Golden Knights	0:4	30.8% : 69.2%
Tampa Bay Lightning	Ottawa Senators	2:4	69.6% : 30.4%
Carolina Hurricanes	Chicago Blackhawks	6:3	85.2% : 14.8%

Last Night Highlights

• The Wild-Canucks game had 17 goals scored total and 3 separate hat tricks (Eriksson Ek, Miller and Kaprizov), but the Wild get the result as they win 10-7.
  • While this was Eriksson Ek and Miller's first hat tricks of the season, this was Kirill Kaprizov's 2nd, and now has 57 points and 3.38 Points/60. Kaprizov and Eriksson Ek finished the game with 3 goals and 3 assists each.
  • The Canucks had 6 total goal scorers, their 11th game with 5+ goal scorers (T-3rd).
• Auston Matthews continues his scoring run (3rd game in a row with a goal) with his 49th goal of the season and 8th goal in the last 5 games. The Leafs beat the Blues in St.Louis 4-2 final and jump into 6th place in the Power Rankings.
  • Matthews also had an assist, making it his 23rd multi-point game this season.
• The Seantors upset the Lightning in Tampa, thanks to 2 goals from Mathieu Joseph, reaching 10 goals and 27 points on his campaign.
  • Claude Giroux's assist was his 7th point in the last 5 games too, increasing his Points/60 by 0.17. Giroux also has shown and increased willingness to shoot, bumping his unblocked Shot Attempts/Game by 0.17 and total Shot Attempts/Game by 0.19.
• Sean Monahan had a hat trick to help his new team but the Jets still fell short to the Flames in Calgary. The Flames were home underdogs with just a 39% win probability.
• The Red Wings defeated the Kraken last night in Seattle thanks to an Overtime GWG from Ben Chiarot, just his 4th goal of the year.
  • Patrick Kane had an assist, which was his 7th point in the last 5 games. Kane has increased his Points/Game by .13 in the last 5.

Who's on Fire

Top 5 Teams

Team	Project 94 Rating	5 Game Trend	5 Game Win%
Edmonton Oilers	721.543	+14.971	60.0%
Florida Panthers	707.647	+49.414	100% 🔥🔥
Carolina Hurricanes	674.755	+15.384	80.0% 🔥
New York Rangers	659.457	+40.58	100% 🔥🔥
Vancouver Canucks	647.678	-20.345	60.0%

Tonight's Matchups

Home Team	Home Win Probability	Away Team	Away Win Probability
Pittsburgh Penguins	59.8%	New York Islanders	40.2%
Florida Panthers	75.0%	Ottawa Senators	25.0%
New York Rangers	57.6%	Dallas Stars	42.4%
Washington Capitals	44.2%	New Jersey Devils	55.8%
Winnipeg Jets	57.6%	Minnesota Wild	42.4%
Colorado Avalanche	50.0%	Vancouver Canucks	50.0%
Vegas Golden Knights	61.3%	Nashville Predators	38.7%
Los Angeles Kings	66.8%	Columbus Blue Jackets	33.2%

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