94 Morning Report: April 5th, 2023
Florida takes 2 big points from Buffalo and is heating up, Matthews reaches 80 points, MacKinnon reaches 100 points, plus Calgary and Winnipeg face off in a meaningful wild card game
Latest stats and analytics updates from games played as of 4/4/23
Original data sourced from mysportsfeeds.com
Results
| Home | Away | Score | Matchup Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLO | BUF | 2:1 | 53.9% : 46.1% |
| TOR | CBJ | 4:2 | 70.4% : 29.6% |
| MTL | DET | 0:5 | 47.9% : 52.1% |
| CAR | OTT | 3:2 | 62.0% : 38.0% |
| NJD | PIT | 5:1 | 60.7% : 39.3% |
| STL | PHI | 4:2 | 57.2% : 42.8% |
| NSH | VGK | 3:2 | 44.0% : 56.0% |
| CGY | CHI | 3:4 | 70.3% : 29.7% |
| VAN | SEA | 2:5 | 47.5% : 52.5% |
| LAK | EDM | 1:3 | 50.5% : 49.5% |
| SJS | COL | 3:4 | 29.9% : 70.1% |
Highlights from Yesterday
- Matthew Tkachuk scored his 39th goal in the third period as the Panthers beat the Sabres to stay in the first wild card spot and set Buffalo back 6 points
- Tage Thompson's assist breaks 90 points for him on the season
- Dawson Mercer's hat trick helps the Devils defeat the Penguins 5-1
- Leon Draisaitl (1 goal/2 assists) keeps scoring as the Oilers defeat the Kings 3-1 in a potential Round 1 Playoff Preview
- The Blackhawks upset the Flames in Calgary (70.3%/29.7% probability split) to keep the Flames 2 points out of the Wild Card spot
Who's on Fire?
- Nathan MacKinnon's 2 goals and 1 assist puts MacKinnon at 100 points (36 goals/64 assists) on the season
- Draisaitl and McDavid extend their point streaks to 13 and 12 games, respectively, leading the league in active point streaks
- The Panthers have now won 4 in a row, scoring 17 goals and only allowing 5 in those games
- Auston Matthews' goal in Toronto's win vs Columbus was 80th point and 38th goal of the year (70 GP)
With 77 GP and 89 points, the Jets take on the Flames, 78 GP and 87 points, in a matchup that could swing the playoff race in the last few games
The series between the two teams is tied 1-1 this season, each winning their respective home game
100 Point Watch
| Player | Team | Games Played | Goals | Assists | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | EDM | 78 | 36 | 63 | 99 |
| Elias Pettersson | VAN | 75 | 37 | 60 | 97 |
| Erik Karlsson | SJS | 76 | 22 | 74 | 96 |
| Mitch Marner | TOR | 76 | 28 | 67 | 95 |
| Mikko Rantanen | COL | 76 | 49 | 45 | 94 |
| Jack Hughes | NJD | 74 | 40 | 51 | 91 |
| Tage Thompson | BUF | 73 | 44 | 46 | 91 |
Check out the full season's Scoring Race
Top 5 Teams in the Power Rankings
| Team | Project 94 Rating | 5 Game Trend | 5 Game Win% |
|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 778.94 | +0.377 | 80.0% 🔥 |
| CAR | 720.642 | +6.302 | 60.0% |
| EDM | 710.524 | +22.049 | 100% 🔥🔥 |
| NJD | 706.569 | +8.2 | 60.0% |
| VGK | 705.414 | -3.464 | 40.0% |
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Win Probabilities for April 4th (3 games):
| Home Team | Home Win Probability | Away Team | Away Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| WPJ | 55.634% | CGY | 44.366% |
| NYR | 54.89% | TBL | 45.11% |
| ANA | 29.002% | EDM | 70.998% |
Disclaimer: Win probabilities and abstract analyses are predictions of future games and interpretations of historical events and should not be used as definitive outcomes for future games or events