94 Morning Report: April 29th, 2023

Carolina advances in OT, Dallas moves on after beating the Wild in Minnesota, the Panthers and Avs force a game 7 and the home teams look to stay alive tonight

Latest stats and analytics updates from games completed as of 4/28/23

Original data sourced from mysportsfeeds.com


Results

Home Team Away Team Final Score Win Probabilities Series
NYI CAR 1:2 44.8% : 55.2% 4-2
FLA BOS 7:5 37.0% : 63.0% 3-3
MIN DAL 1:4 48.9% : 51.1% 2-4
SEA COL 1:4 49.0% : 51.0% 3-3

Highlights from Yesterday

The away team in the 2023 playoffs thus far has gone 27-13-3, winning 61% of all games

  • Paul Stastny scored the OT winner that punched the Canes' ticket to the 2nd round
    • Frederik Anderson made 33 saves of 34 shots faced in his first and only start of the series
  • The Stars beat the Wild 4-1 in Minnesota to seal the series 4-2 and advance to round 2
    • Max Domi and Mason Marchment had a goal and an assist each
    • Roope Hintz scored his 5th goal and 12th point of the playoffs
  • Matthew Tkachuk had 2 goals and an assist to help the Panthers win a back and forth battle and force a game 7 in Boston
  • The Avs beat the Kraken in Seattle thanks to 2 goals from Arrturi Lehkonen and 2 points each from Mikko Rantanen (1 G/1 A), Devon Toews (2 A), Cale Makar (2 A), and Eetu Luostarinen (1 G/1 A)

Boston vs Florida Game 6 Shot Attempts per 60

David Pastrnak continued his offensive pressure in Game 6 and was able to convert 2 goals, totaling 4 in the series. The Panthers will rely on Reinhart and Tkachuk to continue their shot attempts and will need to focus on limiting David Pastrnak in Game 7

Shot Attempts per 60 is calculated by taking a player's shot attempts and dividing it by their total TOI (minutes) and then multiplying that figure by 60. 


Tonight's Matchups

Home Team Home Win Probability Away Team Away Win Probability
TBL 43.915% TOR 56.085%
NYR 47.821% NJD 52.179%
LAK 46.554% EDM 53.446%

Who to Watch

Playoff Statistics
Player Team Games Played Goals Assists Points Shot Attempts Avg TOI (Mins)
Mikhail Sergachev TBL 5 1 2 3 30 27.0
John Tavares TOR 5 3 3 6 26 17.9
Vladimir Tarasenko NYR 5 2 0 2 22 15.1
Dougie Hamilton NJD 5 1 2 3 33 20.5
Viktor Arvidsson LAK 5 1 4 5 40 20.4
Leon Draisaitl EDM 5 6 4 10 37 23.1

Follow Project 94 on Twitter to get the latest stats and charts throughout the day and pregame


Top 5 Teams in the Power Rankings

Top 5 Teams
Team Project 94 Rating 5 Game Trend 5 Game Win%
BOS 778.55 -8.328 40.0%
VGK 730.264 +19.911 80.0% 🔥
EDM 729.697 +10.196 60.0%
NJD 720.697 +11.42 60.0%
TOR 718.289 +6.694 60.0%

Check the full Round 1 Playoff Previews:

Eastern Conference

Western Conference


Disclaimer: Win probabilities and abstract analyses are predictions of future games and interpretations of historical events and should not be used as definitive outcomes for future games or events

Subscribe to Project 94 Analytics

Don’t miss out on the latest issues. Sign up now to get access to the library of members-only issues.
jamie@example.com
Subscribe