94 Morning Report: April 23rd, 2023
3 games require OT, away teams steal wins, and series' forced into game 5's, plus players to watch in a Sunday full of playoff hockey
Latest stats and analytics updates from games completed as of 4/22/23
Original data sourced from mysportsfeeds.com
Results
| Home Team | Away Team | Final Score | Win Probabilities | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPJ | VGK | 4:5 | 46.2% : 53.8% | 1-2 |
| TBL | TOR | 3:4 | 44.6% : 55.4% | 1-2 |
| NYR | NJD | 1:2 | 52.9% : 47.1% | 2-1 |
| SEA | COL | 4:6 | 46.7% : 53.3% | 1-2 |
Highlights from Yesterday
- Michael Amadio scored the 20T winner and Jack Eichel had 2 goals and an assist to lift the Knights past the Jets
- Amadio had 27 points (16 goals/11 assists) this regular season
- Neil Pionk played 41.1 minutes in the double overtime game
- Ryan O'Reilly scored late in the third and Morgan Reilly scored the GWG in OT to give the Leafs a 2-1 series lead over the Lightning
- Mitch Marner now leads the league with 8 points this playoffs after 2 assists
- Dougie Hamilton won it in OT to give the Devils their first win of the series
- Chris Kreider has 5 goals in the 2023 playoffs (League-leader)
- Mikko Rantanen had 2 goals and an assist, Nathan MacKinnon score twice in Colorado's road win against Seattle
SOG per 60
Trevor Moore had 7 Shots on Goal, including scoring the OT winner, in Game 3 and led the league in SOG per 60 minutes
Using "per 60" metrics is helpful to analyze player's performances because players play different TOI based on the team's needs, special teams, and many other reasons. It's useful to compare players metrics as if they played the same amount of time each game. In this case, we take the SOG statistic, divide it by the TOI (mins), and multiply by 60.
Tonight's Matchups
The Panthers and Islanders both look to tie their series' at home, despite win probabilities tilting in favor of the away team
| Home Team | Home Win Probability | Away Team | Away Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 42.616% | CAR | 57.384% |
| FLA | 34.403% | BOS | 65.597% |
| MIN | 51.027% | DAL | 48.973% |
| LAK | 48.675% | EDM | 51.325% |
Who to Watch
| Player | Team | Games Played | Goals | Assists | Points | Shot Attempts | Avg TOI (Mins) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | LAK | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 21.8 |
| Evan Bouchard | EDM | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 22.5 |
| David Pastrnak | BOS | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18.5 |
| Anthony Duclair | FLA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11.8 |
| Tyler Seguin | DAL | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18.8 |
| Matthew Boldy | MIN | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 21.7 |
| Derek Stepan | CAR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8.8 |
| Kyle Palmieri | NYI | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15.6 |
Jaden Schwartz's 2 goals last night led the #SEAKraken but was not enough for the #Avs 6 goals#COLvsSEA https://t.co/FHXjl71Zrm
— project94analytics (@proj94analytics) April 23, 2023
Follow Project 94 on Twitter to get the latest stats and charts throughout the day and pregame
Top 5 Teams in the Power Rankings
| Team | Project 94 Rating | 5 Game Trend | 5 Game Win% |
|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 791.139 | +0.922 | 80.0% 🔥 |
| EDM | 717.744 | -7.557 | 60.0% |
| TOR | 715.934 | +7.873 | 80.0% 🔥 |
| VGK | 715.667 | +10.265 | 60.0% |
| COL | 715.46 | +8.207 | 60.0% |
Check the full Round 1 Playoff Previews:
Eastern Conference
Western Conference
Disclaimer: Win probabilities and abstract analyses are predictions of future games and interpretations of historical events and should not be used as definitive outcomes for future games or events